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  • Hurricane on a run

    Hurricane Run (Montjeu ex Hold On by Surumu) was his father’s truest son. I have never seen a better example of a horse whose career almost totally mirrored that of his sire. It is worth listing their respective careers from the time of the French Derby in the Summer of their three year old careers. 

    Race  
    Montjeu  
    Hurricane Run  
    Prix de Jockey Club 
    1st 
    2nd 
    Irish Derby
    1st 
    1st 
    Prix Niel 
    1st 
    1st 
    Prix de l’Arc 
    1st 
    1st 
    Japan Cup 
    4th 
    na 
    Tattersalls Gold Cup 
    1st 
    1st 
    Grand Prix de Saint Cloud 
    1st 
    2nd 
    King George 
    1st 
    1st 
    Prix Foy 
    1st 
    2nd 
    Prix de l’Arc 
    4th 
    3rd 
    Champion Stakes 
    2nd 
    3rd 
    Breeders Cup Turf 
    7th 
    6th 

    As you will see Hurricane Run ran in 11 of the 12 races that his sire contested- an incredible statistic. They differed in that Hurricane Run did not contest the Japan Cup at the end of his three year old season.  In addition their runs  in the French Derby are not entirely comparable as that classic was shortened in distance to 10 furlongs in 2005, a change that almost certainly cost Hurricane Run victory in that classic. However their careers are remarkably similar and at his peak Hurricane Run came within a few pounds of his sire. Timeform rated Hurricane Run at 134 as a three year old and 130 as a 4 year old compared to 137 for Montjeu at three and four. The hope at Coolmore is that he will achieve similar success as a sire. The good news for Coolmore is that his three year olds are stepping up considerably on their two year old form and he looks set for a good season.

    First Crop 2 year old Results

    Hurricane Run has 147 representatives in his current crop of three year olds. 18 of them managed to win as two year olds which was a creditable outcome. The best of last years runners was the filly Cochabamba (ex Bolivia by Distant View) who finished her campaign with a close second to Cape Dollar (Cape Cross ex Green Dollar by Kingmambo) in the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes. Both of those fillies have genuine classic aspirations and to me represent good ante-post bets for the Oaks for which they are available at around 80-1 on betfair.

    First Crop Three Year Old results

    The table below shows the results for all of the three year olds by Hurricane Run to have raced in the UK so far this year. The races involved are low class affairs, mostly run on the all-weather but the results could hardly be much better. From 11 runs, there have been five wins, four seconds and one third an outstanding strike rate. In addition his early season result in France include Stakes placings for Don’t  Hurry Me (ex Beringold by Bering) and Kreem (ex En Public by Rainbow Quest). It was always to be hoped that his progeny would improve significantly with age and they seem to be fulfilling that promise. This time last year Dubawi started the season with a lot of early low grade winners and it proved a harbinger of an outstanding season and it will be interesting to see whether Hurricane Run can match his success.

    Date
    Track
    Horse
    Dam & Damsire
    Pos.
    Dist.
    03/01/2011
    Wolverh.
    Roi de Boeuf
    Princess Killeen by Sinndar
    5th
    9 f
    08/01/2011
    Lingfield
    Hurricane Higgins
    Mare Aux Fees by Kenmare
    1st
    10 f
    17/01/2011
    Wolverh.
    Sheila’s Star
    Yaselda by Green Desert
    2nd
    9 f
    17/01/2011
    Wolverh.
    Roi de Boeuf
    Princess Killeen by Sinndar
    1st
    9 f
    26/01/2011
    Kempton
    Sheila’s Star
    Yaselda by Green Desert
    2nd
    10 f
    26/01/2011
    Kempton
    Roi de Boeuf
    Princess Killeen by Sinndar
    3rd
    10 f
    25/02/2011
    Wolverh.
    Barbican
    The Faraway Tree by Suave Dancer
    1st
    9 f
    26/03/2011
    Lingfield
    Viking Storm
    Danehill’s Dream by Danehill
    2nd
    10 f
    03/04/2011
    Doncaster
    Barbican
    The Faraway Tree by Suave Dancer
    1st
    10 f
    06/04/2011
    Beverley
    Pretty Diamond
    Cheal Rose by Doctor Devious
    1st
    12 f
    07/04/2011
    Kempton
    Swindy
    Red Passion by Seeking the Gold
    2nd
    10 f

     Hurricane Run’s Pedigree

    Hurricane Run was part of the sensational first crop of Montjeu that also included classic winning colts Motivator and Scorpion. To date we have little evidence of Montjeu’s prowess as a sire of sires, apart from the slightly disappointing Motivator. In his defence we should probably withhold judgement on Motivator as his stud career has been hampered by injuries. Hurricane Run’s dam Hold On was Listed placed and second dam Hone was dam of Group 2 winner Hondo Mondo (by Caerleon). However this is an unexciting female line, largely unfamiliar to UK & Irish breeders. This meant that despite his racecourse prowess Hurricane Run’s stud fee could not be set at more than €30,000 on his retirement. It remained at that level in his second season at stud but is listed as €15,000 for 2011.  It is interesting that Hurricane Run’s dam sire is the 1977 German Derby winner Surumu, who occupies the same place in the pedigree of outstanding German sire Monsun and decent sire Lomitas.

    Conclusion

    This is a critical year for Hurricane Run. He wasn’t expected to make a big impact with his two year olds and they performed respectably but not exceptionally. However the very early signs are that his progeny are coming into their own as three year olds.  It is hoped that just as he was almost a replica of his sire as a racehorse he may come to replicate his success as a stallion. If that comes to pass, his current fee of €15,000 will look like value.

    HURRICANE RUN (IRE) 2002 c b

    Montjeu
    (IRE) 1996
    Sadler’s
    Wells (USA) 1981
    Northern
    Dancer (CAN) 1961
    Nearctic
    (USA) 1954
    Natalma
    (USA) 1957
    Fairy
    Bridge (USA) 1975
    Bold
    Reason (USA) 1968
    Special
    (USA) 1969
    Floripedes
    (FR) 1985
    Top
    Ville (IRE) 1976
    High
    Top (IRE) 1969
    Sega
    Ville (USA) 1968
    Toute
    Cy (FR) 1979
    Tennyson
    (FR) 1970
    Adele
    Toumignon (IRE) 1971
    Hold
    On (GER) 1991
    Surumu
    (GER) 1974
    Literat
    (GER) 1965
    Birkhahn
    (GER) 1945
    Lis
    (GER) 1960
    Surama
    (GER) 1970
    Reliance
    (FR) 1962
    Suncourt
    (GB) 1952
    Hone
    (GB) 1974
    Sharpen
    Up (GB) 1969
    Atan
    (USA) 1961
    Rocchetta
    (GB) 1961
    Lucy
    (GB) 1966
    Sheshoon
    (GB) 1956
    Laverock
    (GB) 1961

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  • breeze up sales- ready to run?

    Breeze up sales were a logical development. One of the supposed advantages  is that the horses offered are almost ready to run.  I put this assumption to the test in this month’s International Thoroughbred magazine.  To read the article follow the link and go to pages 50-52

    http://www.issuu.com/international_thoroughbred/docs/issuu_april

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  • Volkswagen sires

    Some cars retain their value more that others. Some stallions have offspring that retain their value better than others. In this month’s International Thoroughbred magazine I examine this issue with reference to National Hunt markets. To read the article follow the link http://issuu.com/international_thoroughbred/docs/itb_march/58

    One response to “Volkswagen sires”

    1. Joe Smith Avatar

      I’ll be sure to take a look at that as soon as possible. It’s a fair point to be made and as you point out there’s a method behind it.
      Thanks for the advice and keep writing.

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  • Stowaway revealed

     Jumps sires are often dead or infirm by the time their merits become apparent.  Stowaway has just turned 17 so given average luck he should be active for another 4 or 5 years (hopefully more).  His merits are now becoming abundantly clear and National Hunt breeders should be placing him near the top of their lists when planning their future matings. Use him before we lose him is my advice.

    Statistics

    Stowaway is currently lying in 70th position in the Anglo-Irish jumps list with earnings of around £100,000. He has had 7 winners from 23 runners (30%). In 2009/2010 he finished in 170th position with total earnings of £76,648 and 3 winners from 22 runners (14%). In 2008/2009 he finished in 218th position with total earnings of £57,513 and 5 winners from 21 runners (24%).  “So what?” , would be most people’s response to these figures. However in this case the statistics tell an incomplete story. His winners to runners percentages are not particularly great but they mask the quality of some of the individuals that are now coming through. In addition the mares he initially covered were extremely modest as you would expect from a covering fee of €600.  Also Stowaway did not commence stud duties until 2001 so his oldest progeny have just turned 9.

    Shark Hanlon and Stowaway

    January 23rd 2011 saw Stowaway record a major double at Leopardstown. Hidden Cyclone (ex Hurricane Debbie by Shahanndeh) was a good winner of a Grade 2 Novice hurdle over 2 1/2 miles.  He was introduced into the betting for the Neptune Novices Hurdle at Cheltenham but his trainer John Joseph aka ‘Shark’ Hanlon feels that in time he will make a top class staying chaser. Shark Hanlon also trained the bumper winner Mart Lane (ex Western Whisper by Supreme Leader) who is also under consideration for Cheltenham.  Mart Lane is a full brother to the best horse sired to date by Stowaway in Western Leader (ex Western Whisper by Supreme Leader) who has won four times including a Grade 2 hurdle, prior to running second at Aintree in the Sefton hurdle.  All of these horses were bred by Ronnie O’Neill who stands Stowaway in Whytemount Stud in Kilkenny and who was the primary supporter in the early years. For good measure Stowaway Pearl (ex Kelly’s Pearl by Miner’s Lamp) won at Thurles on the 10th February and he is also trained by Shark Hanlon who has been key to the rise of Stowaway.

    Stowaway race record

    Stowaway was first seen on the racecourse as a two year old in October 1996, when he made a winning debut in a mile maiden at Newcastle for trainer Michael Jarvis. The potential he showed that day meant that he was transferred to Godolphin for the rest of his career.  He was beaten on his reappearance at three but then stepped up in class to win the Group 3 Gordon Stakes at Goodwood over 12 furlongs. He followed up in August by winning the Group 2 Voltigeur Stakes from Derby runner-up Silver Patriarch. The St Leger is the traditional target of Voltigeur winners and it was talked about for Stowaway but he failed to make it to Doncaster and in his absence the classic was won by Silver Patriarch. The Champion Stakes saw him return to action that season. He did respectably, finishing fourth behind Pilsudski over a trip short of his best but still finishing ahead of the likes of Derby winner Benny the Dip and Group 1 winners Revoque and Bijou D’Inde.

     Stowaway spent the winter in Dubai and made a winning reappearance in the Dubai Sheema Classic at Nad Al Sheba.  However this was before that race attained graded status. Alas this also proved to be  his last racecourse appearance. His career finished with a record of four wins from six runs and he had proven himself to be amongst the best of his generation. However it was also a career that seemed to fall short of its potential. He seemed an ideal candidate for the St Leger but never got the opportunity to compete in that classic. He never got the opportunity to run beyond 12 furlongs and he seemed a likely sort to improve with age but we never really saw that assumption tested. In addition he never raced on ground worse than good, but race reports filed after his maiden indicate that he had a high knee action so he should have been suited by softer ground.

    Stowaway’s Pedigree

    Sire: Slip Anchor

    Stowaway is a son of the runaway 1985 Derby winner Slip Anchor.   Slip Anchor did not follow on from his sire  and grandsire in throwing a Derby winner but he compiled a reasonable record from his time at stud. From 586 foals he had 302 winners(52%) and 28 (5%) stakes winners.  His best offspring included Oaks, Irish Oaks and St Leger winner User Friendly (ex Rostova by Blakeney), Italian Derby winner and Irish Derby runner-up Morshdi (ex Reem Albaraari by Sadler’s Wells), Italian Group 1 winner and Hardwicke Stakes winner Posidonas (ex Tamassos by Dance in Time) and Melbourne Cup runner-up Give the Slip (ex Falafil by Fabulous Dancer).  His best offspring weren’t precocious, stayed well and tended to be durable. The average winning distance of his offspring is a very high at 12.4 furlongs.  Slip Anchor’s stud fee began at £30,000 in 1987 before dropping to £25000 in 1989, £20000 in 1990. He was available at 3-4k throughout the noughties before his retirement from stud duties in 2007.

    Dam: On Credit

    On Credit, the dam of Stowaway showed high class form in France. She won as a juvenile, won twice over 10 furlongs at three and was twice runner-up in editions of the 11 furlong Group 3 Prix Fille de L’Air. She is also a half sister to Falafil (by Fabulous Dancer) the dam of the previously mentioned Give the Slip (by Slip Anchor). At stud she is also the dam of Credit-A-Plenty (by Generous) who was runner up in the Group 3 Park Hill Stakes.  Stowaway’s grand-dam Noble Tiara was twice a winner( over 10 and 12 furlongs) from nine starts she made as a three year old. This was her only season to race but aside from winning she placed fourth in both the Prix de Flore (Gr3) and Prix de Royallieu (Gr3). On Credit was a daughter of French Guineas winner, No Pass No Sale a son of Northfields. Slip Anchor worked well with Northfields and from only 7 horses bred on this cross they included Slicious (ex Precious Jade) winner of a Group 1 Premio Roma and Anchorite (ex Elysian) who was a high class two year old.

    The secret of Success

    Stowaway’s success has taken people by surprise.  At the time of his arrival at Whytemount Stud in 2001, it had been three years since he had set foot on a racecourse. Understandably there weren’t big queues of breeders to use this forgotten horse. His initial crop sizes numbered 30 with many of these mares being provided by the horses new owner, Ronnie O’Neill.  Following some success he secured 120 mares in 2009 and this rose to 200 mares in 2010 at a heady €1000 service fee. His fee for 2011 is listed as private, but even if the fee is trebled or quadrupled it may still represent value.

    Understanding his success may be easier than we think.  It is well to remember what a high class racehorse he was and it is certainly likely that we never saw the best of him.  Physically he is a big good looking bay. His sire is a potent influence for stamina and the Mill Reef line is responsible for plenty of high profile National Hunt sires.  He has covered mostly moderate mares and made the most of his opportunities.  There is no secret to his success apart from his own abilities.

    Nicks and the future

    Stowaway seems to throw winners to all sorts of lines.  An unfamiliar name that occurs a lot amongst his offspring as broodmare sire is Shahanndeh (Assert ex Shademah by Thatch) who was a half brother to Sharastani who previously stood at Whytemount Stud and was the sire of many of his earlier mates.  Apart from Presenting the Irish national hunt stallion scene is dominated by sons of Sadler’s Wells. Given the success enjoyed on the flat by crossing Sadlers Well’s and Shirley Heights line mares it seems natural that many of these mares will be tried with Stowaway. His first 3 figure sized crop are now yearlings so it will take a few years to make an impact on the track. In the meantime, breeders should take advantage of his availability and I am confident that he will be highly placed on the sires table throughout the mid to late years of this decade.

    STOWAWAY (GB) 1994

    Slip
    Anchor (GB) 1982
    Shirley
    Heights (GB) 1975
    Mill
    Reef (USA) 1968
    Never
    Bend (USA) 1960
    Milan
    Mill (USA) 1962
    Hardiemma
    (GB) 1969
    Hardicanute
    (GB) 1962
    Grand
    Cross (GB) 1952
    Sayonara
    (GER) 1965
    Birkhahn
    (GER) 1945
    Alchimist
    (GER) 1930
    Bramouse
    (FR) 1936
    Suleika
    (GER) 1954
    Ticino
    (GER) 1939
    Schwarzblaurot
    (GER) 1947
    On
    Credit (FR) 1988
    No
    Pass No Sale (IRE) 1982
    Northfields
    (USA) 1968
    Northern
    Dancer (CAN) 1961
    Little
    Hut (USA) 1952
    No
    Disgrace (IRE) 1976
    Djakao
    (FR) 1966
    Exbury
    Grace (FR) 1970
    Noble
    Tiara (USA) 1981
    Vaguely
    Noble (GB) 1965
    Vienna
    (GB) 1957
    Noble
    Lassie (GB) 1956
    Tayyara
    (IRE) 1975
    Targowice
    (USA) 1970
    Shahla
    (IRE) 1968

    3 responses to “Stowaway revealed”

    1. mike Avatar
      mike

      Yet again a potentially significant trend is spotted first by montjeu.com

    2. Roy Hadley Avatar
      Roy Hadley

      Just a magnificent read…………as always.

      Congratulations on a wonderful blog

    3. Nick Avatar
      Nick

      Your comments are so correct – this is a super looking/bred horse with balance & a hardy presence – his pedigree with the Shirley Heights / Never Bend line should be a big help to improve breeding lines – so many people breed both flat & nh for sales trends and forget about proper breeding resulting in poor blood lines and destruction of realy valuable lines – I think one should breed to have a proper bred filly foal and success will folow.
      Thank you,
      N.Asple.

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